Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046311 0.054611 0.063905 0.075072 0.088118 0.102872 0.120816
2025-06-29 0.032304 0.042651 0.055533 0.072715 0.094998 0.122885 0.160405
2025-07-06 0.024162 0.034845 0.049292 0.070182 0.099539 0.139240 0.196921
2025-07-13 0.020014 0.031042 0.047005 0.071667 0.108665 0.161945 0.244309
2025-07-20 0.016790 0.027752 0.044585 0.072126 0.115847 0.182303 0.290652
2025-07-27 0.014372 0.025150 0.042602 0.072657 0.122830 0.202837 0.339561
2025-08-03 0.012577 0.023188 0.041220 0.073757 0.130604 0.225266 0.394042
2025-08-10 0.011321 0.021902 0.040701 0.076105 0.140597 0.252318 0.459356
2025-08-17 0.009570 0.019401 0.037634 0.073423 0.141289 0.263403 0.498236
2025-08-24 0.008432 0.017856 0.036050 0.073163 0.146211 0.282346 0.553246
2025-08-31 0.007387 0.016313 0.034221 0.072119 0.149412 0.298355 0.604524
2025-09-07 0.006767 0.015539 0.033783 0.073736 0.157957 0.325356 0.679959
2025-09-14 0.005970 0.014273 0.032188 0.072819 0.161406 0.343125 0.740003
2025-09-21 0.005204 0.012945 0.030265 0.070929 0.162574 0.356471 0.792806
2025-09-28 0.004511 0.011667 0.028256 0.068536 0.162289 0.366692 0.840192
2025-10-05 0.004168 0.011176 0.027962 0.070004 0.170803 0.396709 0.934114
2025-10-12 0.003802 0.010562 0.027283 0.070456 0.177014 0.422342 1.021264
2025-10-19 0.003481 0.010010 0.026672 0.070977 0.183438 0.449170 1.114303
2025-10-26 0.003223 0.009582 0.026304 0.072052 0.191346 0.480336 1.221195
2025-11-02 0.003046 0.009348 0.026405 0.074347 0.202613 0.520780 1.355159
2025-11-09 0.002678 0.008500 0.024745 0.071725 0.200859 0.529252 1.411215
2025-11-16 0.002445 0.008012 0.023993 0.071471 0.205325 0.553751 1.510625
2025-11-23 0.002210 0.007473 0.023019 0.070450 0.207571 0.572826 1.598240